Originally published December 8, 2009 at 11:19 PM | Page modified December 9, 2009 at 1:31 AM

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Comparing juniors that were selected in the NFL's first 15 picks


Year	Pick	Team	Name	University	YS	G	SR
2009	1	DET	Matthew Stafford	Georgia	1	10	n/a
Comment: Too early to include in this analysis. But not playing as well as last year's seniors Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco.
2009	5	NYJ	Mark Sanchez	USC	1	12	n/a
Comment: See Stafford note.
2007	1	OAK	JaMarcus Russell	LSU	2 ½	28	0
Comment: No. 1 overall pick now benched. 2009 passer rating: 47.7.
2006	3	TEN	Vince Young	Texas	2 ½	41	1
Comment: Davey O'Brien Award winner as top college QB. Resuscitated career after last year's benching. Has the potential to be a franchise quarterback.
2005	1	SF	Alex Smith	Utah	3	39	0
Comment: 2004 Mountain West player of the year. Has had mixed reviews in 2009 after multiple benchings in prior years.
2004	11	PIT	Ben Roethlisberger	Miami (Ohio)	6	83	1
Comment: Signed 8-year, $102 million contract in March.
1999	1	CLE	Tim Couch	Kentucky	3	62	0
Comment: 1998 SEC player of the year out of the league after 4 years.
1998	2	SD	Ryan Leaf	Washington State	2	25	0
Comment: Some publications list Leaf as the No. 1 all-time bust.
1994	3	WAS	Heath Shuler	Tennessee	2	29	0
Comment: 1993 SEC player of the year out of the league after 4 years. No, this is not an accidental paste from the Couch comment.
1994	6	TB	Trent Dilfer	Fresno State	6	130	½
Comment: Struggled at Tampa Bay, then credited with managing offense of Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens.
1993	1	NE	Drew Bledsoe	Washington State	12	194	1
Comment: In March 2001, signed a 10-year, $103 million contract.
1992	SD	NYG	Dave Brown	Duke	3	73	0
Comment: Led lowly Duke to share of 1989 ACC championship. Seven of 10 NFL years as backup.
1990	1	IND	Jeff George	Illinois	8	131	½
Comment: 14-35 record and 72.0 passer rating with Colts.
1990	7	DET	Andre Ware	Houston	0	14	0
Comment: 1989 Heisman Trophy and Davey O'Brien Award winner out of league after 4 years.
1989	SD	DAL	Steve Walsh	Miami (Fla.)	2	80	0
Comment: All-American and national champion. Nine of 11 NFL years as backup.
1989	SD	PHX	Timm Rosenbach	Washington State	1	26	0
Comment: Led nation in passing efficiency and was 1988 Pac-10 player of the year. Out of league after three years.
1981	SD	NOR	Dave Wilson	Illinois	2	53	0
Comment: Set NCAA record with 621 yards passing vs. Ohio State. Five of seven NFL years as backup.
Key: SD — Suplimental draft; YS — Years as a starter; G — Games played; SR — Success rate (1 point for a quarterback who was success with the team that drafted him, ½ a point for a QB who found success with a different team)