Sound Economy with Jon Talton
Veteran financial journalist Jon Talton blogs daily on the most important economic news, trends and issues involving Seattle and the Northwest. Read his regular column every other Sunday in the Seattle Times.
Blog Home |
E-mail Jon |
Subscribe | Twitter feed |
Read Jon's bi-weekly columns
Comments (11)
E-mail article
Print view
Share
Microsoft layoffs send mixed message for Seattle economy
Posted by Jon Talton
Top of the News: The rumors turned out to be correct -- Microsoft said today it would begin a second round of layoffs. The company had said it would eliminate as many as 5,000 jobs, beginning with a round of 1,400 in January -- its first major layoffs ever.
Two messages here. First, they see no green shoots in Redmond. That Microsoft decided to go ahead with the job cuts is an indication that executives expect continued rough waters ahead. Microsoft last month posted its first revenue decline in 23 years as a public company.
For the Puget Sound region, the message is ambiguous. A healthy Microsoft is good for us, even with some job cuts in the short term. And Microsoft says it will continue to hire in some areas, although whether those will be here is unclear. But the layoffs that hit Washington will add to the upward pressure on unemployment, and in many cases the jobs "ain't comin' back," as the economist Bruce Springsteen put it.
You gotta love CEO Steve Ballmer signing his layoff email to employees, "Steve." Just good ole Steve. Such is "business casual" -- we're all on first-name basis. Except one signs the checks and pink slips.
The back story: The media do the public a disservice by continually looking for "good news" of a turnaround. Let me explain: This historic recession was years, even decades, in the making.
Behind it are deep structural problems that can't be quickly addressed. The green-shot watch distracts from a clear-eyed view of our situation and discussion of the reforms needed. It also continues the salesmanship seen in some of the financial media (CNBC, call your office) that enabled the disaster.
That said, here is a serious economist's (Robert Gordon) argument about why the U.S. economy might hit bottom this month or next. The long climb out is another matter. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said today he sees some hopeful signs, but "sizable job losses" will continue.
Today's Econ Haiku:
The stress tests are done
Surprise -- many banks are fine
Now, go buy that bridge
Copyright © 2009 The Seattle Times Company
Nov 20, 09 - 10:05 AM
State and local government deficits will be major drags on recovery
Nov 19, 09 - 9:55 AM
China pulls the world economy back to growth, but no momentum to halt job losses
Nov 18, 09 - 9:40 AM
The entirely predictable 'unexpected' housing drop -- and vote on the jobs mess
Nov 17, 09 - 10:15 AM
Depression avoided? Not so fast
Nov 16, 09 - 10:20 AM
Obama in China: Not an opera, more of an awkward meeting with your banker


- Italian lead prosecutor argues Knox motive was hatred
- Man shot in chest on E. Union Street in Capitol Hill
- Washington state wines make annual best-of list
- Mariners Blog | A Mariners-Tigers swap makes a whole lot of sense for both teams
- Italian prosecutors request life sentence for UW student
- Lynnwood is reinventing itself — again
- Craigslist adoption ad: A plea by young mother-to-be? A scam?
- Genetics anti-bias law takes effect
- Mariners to try Dustin Ackley at second base
- Mariners Blog | Dustin Ackley to move to second base; Mariners add six to 40-man roster
- Senate vote clears hurdle
209 - First key vote today on Senate health bill
167 - Mariners add six to 40-man roster
145 - Man shot in Capitol Hill
91 - Lynnwood is reinventing itself — again
88 - Italian lead prosecutor argues Knox motive was hatred
79 - Prosecutor requests life in prison for Amanda Knox
56 - Saturday links
54 - Child-support error costs nearly $21,000
39 - Historic health care bill nears key Senate vote
38
- Washington state wines make annual best-of list
- Nonprofits get creative using Twitter and Facebook to make donation easier
- Lynnwood is reinventing itself — again
- Great places to cross-country ski for free (or almost) in the Methow
- It's possible to recover a life lost to hoarding
- Recipes: Sesame Pork Roast, Sour Cream Mashed Potatoes, Gingerbread with Lemon Sauce and more
- 175 foster kids in Washington get 'forever families'
- UW provost tapped for Nike's board
- BofA moves to take control of Mastro building in Fremont
- Case of accused "Street Mobb" pimp goes to jury



