Politics Northwest

The Seattle Times political team explores state and local politics.

November 4, 2009 at 1:55 PM

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UW professor: Mallahan lost lead as undecideds broke for McGinn

University of Washington Professor Matt Barreto defended a poll he published just before the Seattle mayoral election showing Mike McGinn trailing Joe Mallahan by seven points.

The candidates were separated in the batch of election returns Tuesday night by just 910 votes, with McGinn in the lead.

Barreto said he thinks his poll was right, and McGinn's last-minute gains are a testament to his get-out-the-vote effort. They also show undecided voters are breaking for McGinn, Barreto said.

His poll showed 19 percent of likely voters were undecided.
Barreto noted that the poll mirrored Tuesday's results in the King County executive's race almost exactly.

"We don't think that the poll was wrong at the time that it was taken," he said. "We think that some things happened in the last week of the election."

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LOL! Way to accept responsibilty for a flawed poll. Matt Barreto, one of the pollsters, tells via e-mail that the Seattle sample size in this... Posted on November 4, 2009 at 2:42 PM by mwamsley. Jump to comment

His poll was only of 764 voters state wide and it only 36 total polled for McGinn and 44 for Mallahan so I am not sure what sort of statistical... Posted on November 4, 2009 at 4:31 PM by Sustainable. Jump to comment

Here is my prediction. None of these pollsters knows what is going on exactly, but what likely happened is that because McGinn supporters were more... Posted on November 5, 2009 at 4:39 PM by Bigredbill. Jump to comment

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Politics Northwest

UW professor: Mallahan lost lead as undecideds broke for McGinn

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