Originally published September 25, 2007 at 12:00 AM | Page modified September 25, 2007 at 12:25 PM
M's Wrap-Up | Part One: Roster renovation
This is the first of a two-part series looking at what lies ahead for the Mariners this offseason. Part Two on Wednesday will focus on the manager and front office.
Seattle Times staff reporter
ERIKA SCHULTZ / THE SEATTLE TIMES
Raul Ibanez: Seattle is likely to keep Ibanez, but the question is where he plays. If the M's keep Jose Guillen and give Adam Jones an outfield job, Ibanez will have to move to first base or DH, and Seattle also has Richie Sexson, Ben Broussard and Jose Vidro.
DEAN RUTZ / THE SEATTLE TIMES
Richie Sexson: The Mariners might want to trade Sexson, who has had a disappointing season (.205 avg., 21 HRs, 63 RBI). But Sexson is owed $14 million in the final year of his contract, and the M's would probably have to pay much of that in a deal.
JIM BATES / THE SEATTLE TIMES
Jose Vidro: He doesn't hit with the power you'd like from a DH, and he can't play often in the field, which limits the M's flexibility. He's a switch-hitter and could share the DH job next season, but he hasn't hit a home run this season as a right-handed hitter.
OTTO GREULE JR / GETTY IMAGES
Ben Broussard: First baseman hit 21 home runs combined last season with Cleveland and Seattle but has been frustrated by his lack of playing time since coming to the Mariners in a trade. "I want to be a Mariner but I don't want to be a bench player."
Today
Cleveland @ Seattle, 7:05 p.m., FSN
GM for a day
Let's play general manager and put together the Mariners' 2008 roster. We'll assume the payroll will be about the same as it was this year, a little north of $100 million. We'll make the following moves:• Horacio Ramirez is not tendered a contract.
• Jeff Weaver is a free agent, and is not re-signed.
• To replace Ramirez and Weaver in the rotation, we'll fill one spot with a current Mariner. It could be Ryan Feierabend, Ryan Rowland-Smith, Cha Seung Baek or Brandon Morrow. We'll go with Feierabend, for purposes of this roster.
• And speaking of Morrow ... he's one of several talented young players the Mariners could trade to acquire another starter. That group also includes OF Wladimir Balentien, C Jeff Clement and, if the name on the other end is Johan Santana, OF Adam Jones. Let's assume the Twins hang on to Santana. More likely targets would be someone like Jon Garland of the White Sox or Noah Lowry of the Giants. Or we could pull off a smaller deal for a pitcher who's not on the radar like ... well, like the Mariners made for Horacio Ramirez last year. We'll shoot a little higher and try to get Brad Penny from the Dodgers in a deal that would include Morrow.
• Richie Sexson is traded, to clear the logjam at 1B-DH-LF. The Mariners would have to take on much of the last year of Sexson's contract to deal him. This leaves Adam Jones in right field (assuming Jose Guillen stays and moves to left), Raul Ibanez at 1B and Ben Broussard still looking for a place to play.
• Free-agent infielder Mark Loretta is signed, to provide help on the bench and maybe to push returning 2B Jose Lopez.
Seattle Times staff
| Projected M's roster | ||
| Lineup | ||
| Pos | Player |
2008
salary |
| CF | Ichiro | $16.1M |
| DH | Jose Vidro | $6M |
| LF | Jose Guillen | $10M |
| 1B | Raul Ibanez | $5.5M |
| 3B | Adrian Beltre | $12M |
| RF | Adam Jones | $390K |
| C | Kenji Johjima | $5.2M |
| 2B | Jose Lopez | $500K |
| SS | Yuniesky Betancourt | $1.33M |
| Rotation | ||
| RHP | Felix Hernandez | $500K |
| RHP | Brad Penny | $8.5M |
| LHP | Jarrod Washburn | $10M |
| RHP | Miguel Batista | $9M |
| LHP | Ryan Feierabend | $420K |
| Bullpen | ||
| RHP | J.J. Putz | $3.4M |
| RHP | Mark Lowe | $390K |
| LHP | George Sherrill | $2.5M |
| RHP | Sean Green | $430K |
| RHP | Jon Huber | $390K |
| LHP | Eric O'Flaherty | $420K |
| LHP | Ryan Rowland-Smith | $390K |
| Bench | ||
| 1B | Ben Broussard | $3.5M |
| UTIL | Willie Bloomquist | $950K |
| C | Jamie Burke | $800K |
| 2B | Mark Loretta | $2.5M |
ANAHEIM, Calif. — Another meaningless game looms, but Mariners left fielder Raul Ibanez, bat in hand, looks as focused as ever as he paces the clubhouse.
Ibanez is anything but done with a week to go in his team's 2007 campaign. At 35, he feels physically and mentally as strong as at any point this season, and his numbers reflect it. That wasn't always the case in a roller-coaster summer for Ibanez that typified his team's experience.
He sunk to the lowest of lows in July, his body battered, hitting mechanics a mess and numbers crashing to their worst monthly totals in five years. But just as dramatically, his bat rocketed to life in August.
Such a rapid turnaround, streaking from sub-zero cold to radiator hot in a matter of days, is something the Mariners became known for throughout this bizarre season. And the ability to pull back up, to straighten the nose dive before the crash, is what Ibanez says being a major-leaguer is all about.
"The hardest part about this game is when you struggle," said Ibanez, who spent weeks on mechanical adjustments to his swing before his "overnight" rebound. "And it's how you handle that adversity, how you recover from it. That's the toughest part of playing this game."
Some will argue the Mariners, despite a winning season, never actually pulled out of crash mode before hitting the ground. Their six-month odyssey can actually be broken down as a series of individual player struggles on a team as streaky as any in the majors.
That team now faces decisions about those struggles and where the players who had them fit on next year's squad. Sorting through it all won't be easy, because as good as the Mariners looked on some occasions, they seemed downright awful on others.
The individual struggles have been well-documented.
While Ibanez salvaged his season with a third campaign of at least 100 runs batted in, first baseman Richie Sexson could not. He lingered around the .200 "Mendoza Line" all season and didn't come close to his usual 30 home runs and 100 RBI.
Second baseman Jose Lopez faded fast after a strong start, his slide coinciding with the mid-June death of his brother in a motorcycle accident in Venezuela. Lopez did not attend the funeral, and there is some thought his focus lapsed in the aftermath.
Jose Vidro had just nine extra-base hits the first three months of the season. He has since managed 20, raising his on-base-plus-slugging percentage from .698 before the All-Star break to .883 since.
Jeff Weaver got off to the worst six-start performance of any pitcher in major-league history. He turned his season around for two months before faltering again down the stretch.
Horacio Ramirez had a terrible start as well, his ineffectiveness masked by massive run support. There were flirtations with success after a stint on the disabled list, but he ultimately crashed and burned.
The bullpen kept the team in contention until mid-August before its heavy workload and lack of experience caught up. Sean Green, Brandon Morrow and Eric O'Flaherty all experienced significant drop-offs as they soared beyond their career highs for innings and appearances.
Morrow's numbers have remained the steadiest, despite an earned-run average of 9.39 in eight September outings. He'll vie for the rotation next spring, meaning his ability to adapt to late-inning situations is now moot.
Green and O'Flaherty excelled before the team's late-August collapse, and appear destined for bullpen jobs next year. There is a feeling they will improve now that their arms have endured an entire season and experienced September pressure.
Like the relievers, Lopez is too young for anyone to give up on. But his lack of preparation and focus at times and an OPS that plummeted from .736 to .505 in the second half guarantees plenty of eyes will be on him.
Regardless, he very likely will start 2008 as one of a core of returning Mariners regulars. That includes steadily improving catcher Kenji Johjima and shortstop Yuniesky Betancourt, who overcame early-season throwing woes and was a more complete player.
Adrian Beltre has become a mainstay at third base, hit 25 home runs for a second straight year and is closing in on his second 100-RBI season.
Ichiro signed a five-year contract extension in July, is the team's premier defensive player in center field and a top-five candidate for American League most valuable player. He has posted a seventh straight season of at least 200 hits and 100 runs scored, and is fighting for his third batting title.
Those spots should remain intact, as will the bullpen at-large with J.J. Putz the anchor at closer, George Sherrill as the main left-hander and Mark Lowe or an imported arm possibly getting a shot as a setup man.
But in other cases, the solution is not so clear-cut.
Assuming Class AAA call-up Adam Jones lands a starting outfield job, that leaves four players — Sexson, Ibanez, Vidro and Ben Broussard — vying for two spots at first base and designated hitter. That problem gets compounded by the fact Vidro can't play more than a game or two per week in the field.
One or two of the four might have to move on. One person watching anxiously is Broussard, who endured his own struggles this year adapting to being a seldom-used part-timer.
"In a lot of ways, it was a shock," he said. "It got to the point where I was able to accept it more. I looked at it like it was temporary, and that's the way I got through it."
Broussard hit .321 with 13 home runs and an .880 OPS with the Cleveland Indians last year before a summer trade to Seattle. He hit eight more homers with the Mariners, but was already being squeezed for playing time.
"It's very frustrating because I was at a point where I felt ready to be full-time player," he said. "And then I went from there to a point where I was hardly playing at all."
There is no easy solution.
Sexson could be traded, though his .205 average and $14 million salary make that difficult without the Mariners eating plenty of money. Possible suitors could include the San Francisco Giants, in need of some bats, or another National League team.
It's unlikely the Mariners would move Ibanez after he produced yet another 100-RBI season. But if first base is occupied and Jones plays in left, his only alternative would be in a DH platoon with Vidro. But Ibanez isn't interested in a platoon role.
"The one thing I want to do is play every day," he said. "I don't get to control where, and I'll play wherever they put me. But as a player, I want to see my name in that lineup."
One alternative is to trade Vidro while his numbers are high. Vidro is owed $6 million by the Mariners in 2008, which isn't bad for a .300 hitter steady from both sides of the plate.
The problem is, Vidro can't play the field often.
Much of what happens could be impacted by what the team does with right fielder Jose Guillen, who is seeking at least a three-year deal worth more than $10 million per year.
Guillen said the Mariners' offense can compete with any in the AL West.
"They have some decisions that they have to make," he said. "Some moves that they have to make to make us better. We need to become a more consistent team. We need to win more consistently. And everybody knows this — it's no secret — pitching is the way to do it."
Weaver will likely leave as a free agent, while Ramirez might not be offered a contract. That leaves Felix Hernandez, Miguel Batista, Jarrod Washburn and possibly two rotation holes. The team has in-house candidates for those in Morrow, Ryan Rowland-Smith and Ryan Feierabend.
But two first-year starters would be dicey for a team planning to contend. With free agency offering little value, the Mariners might have to seek a starter via trade.
The team has horded prospects like Jones, Wladimir Balentien and Jeff Clement and seems destined to part with some. Names like Johan Santana and Brad Penny are the first on some fans' star-studded wish lists, much like a year ago with free agents Daisuke Matsuzaka, Barry Zito, Jason Schmidt, Ted Lilly and others the Mariners either failed to land or go after.
In some cases, not landing one of those names was a good thing. But while doing nothing can spare some egg on a team's face, it usually won't make a club better.
And to pull out of nose dives more quickly in 2008, the Mariners need some new parts. Ibanez would be the first to admit that things didn't get better for him by staying the same.
"In this game, the best players are the ones who can adjust when things are going wrong for them," he said. "You're always tinkering with your swing, even if it's just a tweak here or there. You're looking for something new that can work to make you better."
Words the Mariners need to live by.
Geoff Baker: 206-464-8286 or gbaker@seattletimes.com.
Read his daily blog at www.seattletimes.com/Mariners
Copyright © 2007 The Seattle Times Company
UPDATE - 7:15 PM
Mariners' Felix Hernandez has fun in spring debut, after scary start
UPDATE - 8:27 PM
Catcher Gregg Zaun retires after 16 seasons
Mariners' Ackley adjusting at second base
Carlos Beltran singles in first spring at-bat | Baseball
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