Originally published Sunday, April 27, 2008 at 12:00 AM
Africa, the next Asia for investors?
Economies in Africa are among the world's fast growers, and more analysts suggest investors pay attention to the continent. Historically, heavy debt loads...
Economies in Africa are among the world's fast growers, and more analysts suggest investors pay attention to the continent.
Historically, heavy debt loads and political strife weighed on Africa. But since 2001, the resource-rich continent has been lifted by stronger prices for oil, gold and other commodities.
Africa, in some ways, resembles Asia 20 to 30 years ago, when that region began its growth spurt, Credit Suisse analysts say in a recent report.
They point to greater political stability, higher education levels, investments by China, continued commodity price strength and lower inflation. The latter is about 6 percent compared with 19 percent in the 1980s.
It can be difficult for U.S. investors to get access to African stocks, especially outside South Africa.
Few analysts follow them, and they can be thinly traded. But Americans can play the region's growth through U.S. companies.
Another avenue is mutual funds focused on Africa. T. Rowe Price launched its Africa & Middle East fund (TRAMX) last year.
Most of the fund's holdings are in the Middle East. Joseph Rohm, vice president of T. Rowe Price International, sees opportunities in energy, financials, infrastructure and telecommunications, as mobile-telephone use skyrockets across the continent.
African stocks tend to have a relatively low correlation with the U.S. market, which helps diversify investors' portfolios, Rohm says.
African banks, for example, have largely sidestepped the huge write-downs global banks have taken in connection with U.S. mortgages.
The corporate-management talent pool is also improving, as Africans educated in the United States and Europe return, Rohm says.
To be sure, Africa still has a way to go to become the next Asia, experts say.
![]()
Though Africa makes up 13 percent of the world's 6.5 billion population, it accounts for just 2 percent of global economic output, Credit Suisse says.
A drop in commodity prices would also hurt. And though conditions have improved, political strife remains.
The T. Rowe Price fund avoids such markets as Zimbabwe for this reason.
Copyright © 2008 The Seattle Times Company
UPDATE - 09:46 AM
Exxon Mobil wins ruling in Alaska oil spill case
UPDATE - 09:32 AM
Bank stocks push indexes higher; oil prices dip
UPDATE - 08:04 AM
Ford CEO Mulally gets $56.5M in stock award
UPDATE - 07:54 AM
Underwater mortgages rise as home prices fall
NEW - 09:43 AM
Warner Bros. to offer movie rentals on Facebook

- Agency set to investigate handling of 911 call about Josh Powell
- Proposal to link Market, aquarium may be too ambitious for Seattle
- Chilling 911 tapes reveal pleas for help to go to Josh Powell home
- UW's Shawn Kemp Jr. makes own way despite familiar name, number | Steve Kelley
- State Medicaid to quit paying for ER visits deemed unnecessary
- NBA's David Stern open to league returning to Seattle
- Prosecutor: Powell's final act ends doubt he killed wife
- Was idea of court-ordered test too much for Josh Powell?
- Local aerospace suppliers say they feel squeezed by Boeing
- California gay-marriage ruling may affect Washington
- Gay-marriage bill passes House, awaits Gregoire's signature
327 - Sheriff's office unhappy with 911 dispatcher in caseworker's call
206 - Romney's bad day is Santorum's best in GOP race
188 - Gay-marriage ruling may affect Washington or Prop. 8 ruling could reach into Washington
168 - State Medicaid program to stop paying for unneeded ER visits
165 - Dicks channeled federal money to Puget Sound project his son ran
123 - 3 big health insurers stockpile $2.4 billion as rates keep rising
99 - Proposal to link Market, aquarium may be too ambitious for Seattle
87 - Study shows link between payroll and wins not as big as before, but teams like Mariners still face bigger obstacles than others
78 - Video --- UW offensive coordinator/quarterbacks coach Eric Kiesau
71
- State Medicaid to quit paying for ER visits deemed unnecessary
- Here it is: The secret to stir-fried chicken | Taste
- Local aerospace suppliers say they feel squeezed by Boeing
- Dicks channeled federal money to Puget Sound project his son ran
- Buttoned Up: Nine immutable laws of time management
- 3 big health insurers stockpile $2.4 billion as rates keep rising
- Happy Hour: French-accented charm at Gainsbourg
- 'Gauguin and Polynesia': dazzling mix-and-match | Art review
- Gay-marriage bill passes House, awaits Gregoire's signature
- Agency set to investigate handling of 911 call about Josh Powell
