Originally published Thursday, December 20, 2007 at 12:00 AM
Analysis
Stocks looking cheap to some investors
Given the credit crisis and recession worries, it's no surprise investors are wary of stocks. But not Brian Rogers, chief investment officer...
The Associated Press
Given the credit crisis and recession worries, it's no surprise investors are wary of stocks.
But not Brian Rogers, chief investment officer at T. Rowe Price, which manages nearly $400 billion. "Good things normally happen from where we are right now, even when there is very little visibility to point to," he says.
Based on a valuation known as earnings yield — the inverse of price-earnings ratio — stocks look more attractive than bonds, as measured by the 10-year Treasury yield. The earnings yield of the S&P 500 is now around 5.5 percent, while the 10-year Treasury yields are about 4 percent.
With an "attentive" Federal Reserve and plenty of cash sloshing around, Rogers says he "can't be bearish on equities." He likes Hershey (HSY) and Home Depot (HD), which he calls "the chicken way" to play an eventual housing recovery. He also points to beaten-down financials, such as Merrill Lynch & Co. (MER), which has nearly halved this year.
Clover Capital Management's Matt Kaufler, who co-manages the Touchstone Value Opportunities Fund (CCEVX), thinks the "environment for financials will get worse before it gets better." But he also is eyeing Merrill Lynch, as well as Sovereign Bancorp (SOV). "Both are great consumer franchises and are out of favor, and there have been management changes at both," he says.
For about 18 months, Kaufler has been focusing on defensive sectors like consumer staples, utilities and health care. But the fund also has about 25 percent in financials, including US Bancorp (USB), Assurant (AIZ) and Bank of New York Mellon (BK), which he says have little exposure to risky lending practices.
Kaufler also suggests companies involved in spin-offs, such as media company E.W. Scripps (SSP) and cigarette producer Carolina Group (CG). Restructurings, management changes and new regulations can boost the right stocks even if the market stumbles.
"Investors should look for companies at an inflection point in their life cycles," he says.
Copyright © 2007 The Seattle Times Company
UPDATE - 09:46 AM
Exxon Mobil wins ruling in Alaska oil spill case
UPDATE - 09:32 AM
Bank stocks push indexes higher; oil prices dip
UPDATE - 08:04 AM
Ford CEO Mulally gets $56.5M in stock award
UPDATE - 07:54 AM
Underwater mortgages rise as home prices fall
NEW - 09:43 AM
Warner Bros. to offer movie rentals on Facebook

general classifieds
Garage & estate salesFurniture & home furnishings
Electronics
just listed
American Bulldog pups NKC
Martin Logan speakers
Pug puppies ready for good homes
More listings
POST A FREE LISTING
- Lakewood cop accused of embezzling $150K meant for slain officers' families
- 3 big health insurers stockpile $2.4 billion as rates keep rising
- Agency set to investigate handling of 911 call about Josh Powell
- Quick decisions: How Washington hired its new football staff
- Historic day for gay marriage as another fight looms
- Justin Wilcox's versatile defensive style is the right fit for Huskies | Jerry Brewer
- It's Terrence Time: Enigmatic Ross leads Huskies
- Social worker recounts minutes before Powell fire
- $25B settlement reached over foreclosure abuses
- Club promoter convicted in brutal 2010 murder of Des Moines prostitute
- Gay-marriage bill passes House, awaits Gregoire's signature
459 - Historic day for gay marriage as another fight looming
352 - Wanted in Seattle classrooms: more teachers of color
247 - 3 big health insurers stockpile $2.4 billion as rates keep rising
239 - Source: NY, California to sign mortgage settlement
231 - Oregon live game thread
155 - Pac-12 picks ... including the UW game
140 - Council members get briefing on arena proposal, minus details
106 - Worker: Josh Powell told son he had 'surprise'
96 - AP Source: Obama to change birth control rule
93
- State Medicaid program to stop paying for unneeded ER visits
- 3 big health insurers stockpile $2.4 billion as rates keep rising
- Wanted in Seattle classrooms: more teachers of color
- One man's audacious pursuit of sailing history
- Darren Berg gets 18-year sentence for Ponzi scheme
- $25B settlement reached over foreclosure abuses
- Economy, blogs give survivalists new reason to look to Northwest
- 'Gauguin and Polynesia': dazzling mix-and-match | Art review
- State's share of mortgage settlement: $648 million
- A wandering gene's destructive path | Book review



