Originally published Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 12:00 AM
Review goals before you unload subprime debt
Mutual-fund investors who looked to counter their stock holdings with a conservative footing in bonds might understandably feel betrayed...
The Associated Press
NEW YORK — Mutual-fund investors who looked to counter their stock holdings with a conservative footing in bonds might understandably feel betrayed by recent headlines warning of cracks in the credit markets and threats to the values of some bonds.
But before investors hastily sell bond funds over fears that ruptures in subprime mortgages will wreck holdings, investors should examine what they own and consider whether their investments are showing signs of distress.
Subprime debt is tied to borrowers with poor credit, many of whom took on home loans when the housing market was stronger and are now having trouble paying their mortgages.
Complex securities
Making matters worse for investors, many of these mortgages have been bundled together and sold as securities. Some of these securities are complex, making it hard to determine who might be holding some radioactive debt.
Recently announced write-downs at companies like Citigroup and Merrill Lynch have rekindled investor concerns that more pain is to come.
Additionally, questions have emerged about the quality of some credit ratings, causing some investors to fear that their once soundly rated investments will be downgraded upon further examination.
But analysts note not all subprime debt is bad — particularly debt issued before 2006, when some standards grew lax — and that not all of this debt is going to go bad.
So investors seeking some assurance can do a little digging to try to determine the soundness of their funds' financial footing.
And, observers say, signs of trouble would in most cases have already started to appear through lower returns in recent quarters.
"It should be pretty obvious by now looking at returns if your fund is exposed in any meaningful way to these securities," said Scott Berry, senior mutual-fund analyst at investment-research provider Morningstar.
Berry contends investors would start to have seen second-quarter, third-quarter and year-to-date numbers fall off if there were outsize problems in a fund.
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But he also said investors can do some homework given the uncertainty that persists on Wall Street.
"The story is not over yet," said Berry. "There is going to be more volatility and more chapters to come but at the end of the day we still don't know what these things will be worth."
Contact fund
He said investors should take a look at fund Web sites and contact their fund companies should they have questions about the quality of debt a fund holds.
Berry encourages investors to consider their investment goals.
"Go back and look at your original objectives and your original risk tolerance and see if anything has changed," he said.
"Sometimes it's not that your risk tolerance has changed but that you misjudged the potential volatility of the fund."
Copyright © 2007 The Seattle Times Company
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