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Sunday, July 16, 2006 - Page updated at 12:00 AM

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"First-lien mortgage investments"

Syndicated columnist

Ray McDoniel's e-mail pitch is not subtle.

"Take all your money out of non-collateralized investments and invest in my first-lien mortgage investments," he writes, launching into a laundry list of reasons why his financial product is a lifesaver for risk-averse consumers.

"Be bold," he concludes. "Fire your financial planner if they aren't providing you a consistent 12 percent rate of return."

There are a lot of investments tied to real estate and mortgages these days, and each needs to be evaluated on its own merits. The first-lien mortgage program McDoniel is selling from his Encore Mortgage Advisors in Bedford, Texas, does have some positives, but it's still going to be Stupid Investment of the Week for the bulk of consumers who consider it.

Stupid Investment of the Week showcases the concerns and flaws that make an investment less than ideal for the average consumer, in the hope that spotlighting potential dangers in one situation makes those troubles easier to root out elsewhere.

The column is not intended to be an automatic sell signal, as there may be times when unloading a problem investment only compounds the trouble.

In the case of McDoniel's first-lien mortgage-investment program, there is potential for the investments to turn out right, but that hope for a good outcome is not enough for most investors to take the plunge.

To see why, you must first understand how the Encore Mortgage program works.

McDoniel is a mortgage broker. He is matching individuals with cash to-real-estate investors buying properties either in foreclosure or for the purpose of fixing and flipping it.

As the person putting up the cash, you become the bank of choice for short-term deals by the would-be real-estate magnates who use the no-money-down or buy-foreclosures systems discussed in late-night infomercials. (McDoniel says the biggest surge of interest since the program started last year was after he presented it to a seminar audience hyping the investment programs of Robert Kiyosaki, author of "Rich Dad, Poor Dad.")

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Because the program involves single mortgages on specific properties to one individual — rather than a pool of investors — the deals are not regulated, and McDoniel is not functioning as an investment adviser.

Of course, it is easy to overlook the potential problems of buying an unregulated investment because this is a mortgage, something almost everyone can understand.

To protect his borrowers, McDoniel says Encore Mortgage only does these deals to a dollar level where the loan equals just three-quarters of the lowest appraised value on the property.

The person making the loan is listed as the "loss payee" on the property's insurance policy, and the first lien is recorded in the lender's name, making the property collateral for the deal. If the borrower winds up in default, the investor can foreclose, taking the property at a price discounted to the appraised value.

Best of all, McDoniel's 4 percent commission is paid by the borrowers, who also agree to pay 12 percent interest to the lender putting up the dough.

That 12 percent return is the big selling point, but it's also where you can see this program start to unravel, because it's nearly double most home-mortgage rates.

"The typical house flipper is not paying anything close to 12 percent," says Greg McBride, senior editor at BankRate.com, "so you have to wonder who is paying [McDoniel's] rates when there are so many more attractive options available. ... If it's only people who otherwise can't get a loan, that could lead to foreclosure, which is not as simple as it sounds in his e-mail, and which can tie up your money — at no interest — for months."

That high rate of interest turns these deals into what amounts to a high-risk, callable bond. If the buyer refinances, which is expected in 14 months or less, investors gets their money back, whether they want it or not. If they can do another deal — generating another commission for McDoniel — they may be able to keep the cash flowing, but that is no given.

McDoniel noted that in the first deals he completed, a few wound up getting paid off early while the others have yet to get through the 14-month time frame. None has resulted in a default.

The average deal has been in the "high $100,000s." The investor must have that cash on hand to put it to work; using that huge chunk of dough for one investment could blow the typical consumer's conventional asset-allocation plan.

One positive for Encore is that the firm is only working on properties in Texas, where the rate of home appreciation has been more reasonable than in many other parts of the country. That means that a real-estate bubble — the worry of property investors everywhere in recent years — would not be likely to hurt the Lone Star State quite as much as other parts of the country.

But if the housing market is deteriorating, as most observers believe, it's not a great time to flip properties, let alone use your cash to finance some other guy's quick-turn strategy. The success rate for home-flippers is likely to decline over the next five years.

McDoniel is not worried, saying he loves the security of having the investment secured by real property. "I'm looking for the mom and pop who want to secure their money and who want a monthly payment," he says, "and this is what first-lien mortgage investing gives them."

McBride disagrees, noting reduced diversification and increased risk are qualities most investors want to avoid.

"Clearly, this is a vehicle for sophisticated investors who have a sizeable and well-diversified portfolio who can afford to take on the concentrated risk of investing in one borrower," McBride says. "That is not going to be the person who gets this e-mail or hears about this kind of thing. ... Like any deal where you are investing directly in mortgages or real estate, you need to be extremely careful here."

Chuck Jaffe is senior columnist for MarketWatch. If you have a suggestion for Chuck Jaffe's Stupid Investment of the Week or a comment about this week's column, you can reach him at jaffe@marketwatch.com or Box 70, Cohasset, MA 02025-0070.

2006, MarketWatch

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